Fun With Numbers For WVU And The NCAA Tournament - WVU Football, WVU Basketball, News - Mountaineer Sports

Fun With Numbers For WVU And The NCAA Tournament

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MORGANTOWN -

The West Virginia University basketball team and its fans continue to wonder if the Mountaineers are in the NCAA Tournament. If you pay attention to the "bracketologists", then WVU is in.

The next question to ask is what seed will WVU get? While just getting in is great, the seed makes a big difference in what the road to the Sweet 16 and eventually the Final Four looks like.

One look at college basketball this season and it is easy to see a big drop in the level of talent from those teams likely seeded one and two and the schools below them.

For example, if WVU is a 10 seed then it will draw a seven seed in the now second round of the tournament. A win means either team is likely playing a two seed in the third round.

If WVU is a 12 seed then it will draw a five seed. A win will send WVU into a game against either the four seed or the 13 seed.

Here is a little food for thought on the success rates of seeds in the history of the NCAA Tournament.

No. 10 seeds are 53-79 against No. 7 seeds and 21-29 against No. 2 seeds.

No. 11 seeds are 42-86 against No. 6 seeds and 11-29 against No. 3 seeds.

No. 12 seeds are 39-89 against No. 5 seeds and 11-19 against No. 4 seeds.

No. 10 seeds have the best overall success in the first round amongst that group and do pretty well against No. 2 seeds winning 42 percent of the time.

Location could also play a role in West Virginia's success or failure in the NCAA tournament. Drawing a 10 seed in the same region as Duke could pit the two schools against each other in Greensboro, North Carolina. That is about an hour away from Duke's campus.

WVU has shown the ability to compete with any team in the country. It has also struggled to close out games, which proved to hurt the Mountaineers once again in the Big East Tournament.

West Virginia tends to earn a higher seed when it plays in the NCAA Tournament. The last time WVU was a 10 seed was in 1998 when the Mountaineers advanced to the Sweet 16 before losing to Utah.

Can this team make a run? It can, but will it? Only the players can answer that question.

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