Coming off it’s thrilling victory over Texas last week, No. 9 West Virginia (7-1, 5-1) is back home and riding high with the path to the Big 12 title game getting clearer.
The Mountaineers are hosting a struggling Texas Christian (4-5, 2-4) team with the chance to take another step towards a trip to “Jerry World” in December.
Both WVU and TCU are coming off one-point wins last week.
The Mountaineers stayed in the conference title hunt, while the Horned Frogs stayed out of the conference basement with their win.
West Virginia is 11-7 since the start of the 2010 season in games immediately following a contest decided by three points or fewer.
And the last time WVU won a game by just one point, it go a ‘W’ the next time out.
TCU vs. the Pass
TCU’s struggles this year have come when opposing teams have an average-to-good day passing.
The Horned Frogs are 0-5 this year when giving up 200 or more yards through the air.
Meanwhile, Will Grier has thrown for 300 or more yards in every game but one this season.
And Grier is just one 300 passing yard performance away from tying Geno Smith for the most in school history at 17.
Gary Patterson’s defense is the best against the pass in the Big 12, only allowing 190.7 yards through the air on average. But when opposing teams go over that, it’s been bad news for TCU.
The 41 points allowed to Texas last week was the most given up in a game this year by Tony Gibson’s defense. The 354 passing yards also the most yards through the air allowed in a game this season.
The good news is, the Horned Frogs haven’t been explosive on offense, averaging nearly 100 yards of offense fewer per game than the Mountaineers.
The Horned Frogs are middle of the road in the Big 12, offensively, across the board.
TCU is seventh in the conference in total yards (393.2) and rushing yards (153.1) per game, eighth in passing yards (240.1) per contest. Texas Christian is also sixth in third-down conversion percentage (42%), and tied for last in the conference in fourth-down conversions (33%).
Winning the turnover battle is key. This is a game to do so for WVU.
Texas Christian’s offense has fumbled a Big 12-high 19 times this year, losing eight.
West Virginia’s opponents have put the ball on the ground 15 times this season, and WVU will look to bring out the turnover helmet a few more times this week.
Grier having at least a good day should be a great sign for WVU, and TCU’s tendency to put the ball on the ground should create a few opportunities to change possession and momentum.
That’s West Virginia versus TCU from Inside the Numbers.